Coronavirus hospitalizations may be close to peaking in Dallas County, health experts say

Table of Contents Dallas CountyTexasTarrant CountyCollin CountyDenton CountyOther counties Coronavirus hospitalizations may be nearing a

Coronavirus hospitalizations may be nearing a plateau in Dallas County after rising for the last two months.

In their latest model, forecasters at UT Southwestern Medical Center predict a modest increase in the county’s hospitalized COVID-19 patients in the coming days, followed by a slight drop-off to the current level of about 1,000 by Sept. 23. A week ago, the model had forecast 1,200 hospitalizations by Sept. 16.

Tarrant County, however, faces a continued increase in hospitalizations for several weeks, according to the model, with 1,400 expected by Sept. 23. Last week’s model predicted 1,300 hospitalized patients by Sept. 16.

Across Texas, hospitalizations for the virus have held steady in the mid- to high 13,000s for about two weeks.

The UTSW model notes that North Texans’ mask-wearing, based on survey responses, has increased in recent weeks but may have plateaued. Vaccination rates, too, had risen since late June but also have flattened recently.

Hospitalizations appear to have peaked among most age groups but continue to grow among children, many of whom are not yet eligible to be vaccinated but have returned to in-person schooling. Coupled with the prevalence of the highly contagious delta variant, this makes children — who have previously avoided the worst of the pandemic — especially susceptible to infection, health experts said.

In North Texas, pediatric hospital admissions are more than double what they were during the virus’ January surge. Statewide there were more than 300 children hospitalized with COVID-19 on Monday; the winter peak was 147.

At Cook Children’s Health Care System, officials were worried about a surge in cases from Labor Day gatherings further straining hospitals that are already reaching “crisis mode.”

“Delta changed everything. Delta loves kids,” Dr. Corwin Warmink, emergency services medical director, said during a news conference last week. “The storyline that this doesn’t affect children just isn’t true anymore.”

To Trenton Cary (back row, second from left, at his parents' Plano home), the decision by himself and family members to get the COVID-19 vaccine was considered a matter of life and death — particularly for himself, considering he has received two heart transplants and a cancer diagnosis. Other family members (clockwise from back left): Vicki Quarello, Trent's aunt; Jessica Cary, his wife; Valerie and David Cary, his parents; Kira and Austin Cary, his sister-in-law and brother; Allison Cary, his sister; and Oliver Cary, his nephew and Kira and Austin's son.

Dallas County

Dallas County reported 43 more COVID-19 deaths and 8,482 new coronavirus cases in the last week. Because of the holiday weekend, the county has not reported virus data since Friday.

Of the new cases, 6,824 were confirmed and 1,658 were probable. The numbers bring the county’s overall case total to 357,350, including 305,113 confirmed and 52,237 probable. The death toll is 4,365.

The average number of new daily cases in the county for the last two weeks is 1,222. For the previous 14-day period, the average was 1,184.

The county last reported that 1,017 people were hospitalized with the virus.

According to the state, 1,503,100 people in Dallas County have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, while 1,255,294 — 57.5% of the county’s population 12 and older — are fully vaccinated.

Texas

The state reported 129,364 more cases in the last week, including 101,411 confirmed cases and 27,953 probable cases.

The state also reported 1,706 COVID-19 deaths over the last week, raising its toll to 57,110.

The new cases and deaths are both highs for a single week since February.

The state’s case total is now 3,690,755, including 3,101,054 confirmed and 589,701 probable.

There are a total of 13,545 hospitalizations in the state, including 3,639 in North Texas — the most in the region since late January.

According to the state, 16,658,527 people in Texas have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, while 13,973,394 — 58.1% of the state’s population 12 and older — are fully vaccinated.

Doctors look at a lung CT image at a hospital in Xiaogan,China.

Tarrant County

Tarrant County reported 60 deaths and 5,545 cases in the last week. Because of the holiday weekend, the county has not reported virus data since Friday.

Of the new cases, 4,449 were confirmed and 1,096 were probable. The numbers bring the county’s case total to 309,051, including 257,569 confirmed and 51,482 probable. The death toll is 3,907.

The county last reported that 1,162 people were hospitalized with the virus.

According to the state, 1,120,069 people in Tarrant County have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, while 965,140 — 55.5% of the county’s population 12 and older — are fully vaccinated.

Collin County

The state added 20 deaths and 4,994 cases to Collin County’s totals in the last week.

Of the new cases, 4,004 were confirmed and 990 were probable. The numbers bring the county’s case total to 113,940, including 93,325 confirmed and 20,615 probable. The death toll is 920.

The county last reported that 543 people were hospitalized with the virus.

According to the state, 664,695 people in Collin County have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, while 583,196 — 67.4% of the county’s population 12 and older — are fully vaccinated.

Denton County

Denton County reported four deaths and 1,659 cases in the last week. Because of the holiday weekend, the county has not reported virus data since Friday.

The numbers bring the county’s case total to 90,570, including 66,105 confirmed and 24,465 probable. The death toll is 663.

The county last reported that 195 people were hospitalized with the virus.

According to the state, 519,868 people in Denton County have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine, while 461,120 — 61.5% of the county’s population 12 and older — are fully vaccinated.

Other counties

The Texas Department of State Health Services has taken over reporting for these other North Texas counties. In some counties, new data may not be reported every day.

The latest numbers are:

  • Rockwall County: 14,718 cases (11,574 confirmed and 3,144 probable), 175 deaths.
  • Kaufman County: 20,227 cases (16,435 confirmed and 3,792 probable), 318 deaths.
  • Ellis County: 27,840 cases (22,446 confirmed and 5,394 probable), 361 deaths.
  • Johnson County: 23,631 cases (19,639 confirmed and 3,992 probable), 423 deaths.